The econowonks at the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) recently released the latest projections for U.S. spending on healthcare. (See links below.) These data provide the latest official look at how the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) will affect U.S. healthcare spending.
As you will see below, CMS projects that outpatient prescription drugs dispensed by retail and mail pharmacies will remain a small share of total U.S. healthcare spending. The Inflation Reduction Act’s changes to the Medicare Part D program, along with coming demographic shifts, will have a significant impact on future spending by government programs and consumers.
Nonetheless, taxpayers—primarily via Medicare and Medicaid—will continue to dominate the employer-sponsored insurance market. Like it or not, vertically integrated insurers, PBMs, specialty pharmacies, and providers will continue to prosper.
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